Weekly Prediction Market Volume
Compare weekly prediction market contract volume, venue shares, and trends for Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US, with live charts and data-backed analysis.
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Open research
Good questions. Open research.
Prediction market notebooks from the Outcome community.
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Prediction Market Calibration
The efficient market hypothesis suggests that asset prices should perfectly aggregate all available information. Prediction markets theoretically provide the purest test of this theory. A price of 5 cents should imply exactly a 5% probability. How often does this hold true?
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0views 0Kalshi & Polymarket Analyses
Open this notebook to explore the author’s research, queries, and findings.
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